Borac Banja Luka vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
9º
2º
52
2º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borac Banja Luka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
BBL
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
BBL
2 - 0
ZEL
52%
26%
23%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
BBL
1 - 0
IGM
75%
18%
7%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 3
BBL
32%
28%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BBL
0 - 3
ZRI
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
SIR
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ZRI
2 - 3
SAR
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
SLO
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 3
SAR
18%
26%
56%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
SLO
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |