Bonsucesso vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
VRE
2 - 1
BON
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
BON
0 - 2
OLA
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
CFZ
2 - 0
BON
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
BON
2 - 4
RBC
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
SCR
2 - 0
BON
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -3 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
POR
2 - 0
SCR
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
VRE
2 - 3
POR
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
POR
0 - 0
OLA
26%
26%
48%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
CFZ
4 - 2
POR
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
POR
1 - 0
RBC
76%
16%
9%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |