Bonsucesso vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
47.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FLA
4 - 0
BON
83%
13%
4%
|
50 | 82 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
BON
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
BON
2 - 1
IFC
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
TIG
0 - 2
BON
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
ANG
2 - 2
BON
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 0
MAC
40%
24%
37%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAD
2 - 0
BRA
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
IFC
2 - 0
MAD
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MAD
1 - 0
MAR
32%
26%
43%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 1
MAD
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |