Bonsucesso vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
71.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BON
2 - 1
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VOL
2 - 1
BON
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BON
1 - 1
BAN
42%
25%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 2
BON
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
OLA
1 - 1
BON
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 3
MAC
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 0
ZAM
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLU
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 2
FLU
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
3 - 0
NOV
86%
11%
4%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |