Bonsucesso vs Barra Mansa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
SFC
4 - 1
BON
24%
23%
54%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BON
0 - 0
PET
41%
26%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
CMA
2 - 0
BON
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BON
0 - 0
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
DUQ
5 - 0
BON
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
BAR
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
MAG
3 - 3
BAR
21%
21%
59%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 2
PFC
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CGA
2 - 0
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 0
CEC
31%
22%
46%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |