Bonsucesso vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 2
BON
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
OLA
1 - 1
BON
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
4 - 1
BON
86%
11%
4%
|
50 | 82 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BON
2 - 2
MAC
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
RES
1 - 0
BON
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 0
OLA
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
3 - 0
BAN
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BOA
4 - 2
BAN
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 2
DUQ
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
2 - 1
BAN
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |