Bonola vs Pregnanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FOO
1 - 0
BON
58%
21%
22%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BON
1 - 4
CAS
27%
23%
51%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
BON
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SED
4 - 1
BON
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BON
0 - 0
BOL
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pregnanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PRE
2 - 1
BOL
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ARC
3 - 1
PRE
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PRE
1 - 0
TUR
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PAS
0 - 1
PRE
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PRE
5 - 4
SOL
36%
24%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |