Bonchamp vs Sablé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonchamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
BOU
4 - 1
BON
78%
15%
7%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BON
1 - 3
POI
14%
21%
66%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
CHA
4 - 1
BON
76%
15%
8%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BON
0 - 2
TOU
13%
20%
67%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SAU
4 - 1
BON
76%
16%
8%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SAB
3 - 1
CHO
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SAB
1 - 2
ASC
61%
21%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
VIE
2 - 0
SAB
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BOU
0 - 0
SAB
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |