Bonchamp vs Cognac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
66.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonchamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
BON
1 - 2
USS
16%
23%
61%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
CHA
5 - 1
BON
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
VIE
1 - 0
BON
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CHO
2 - 1
BON
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ASC
2 - 1
BON
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
COG
0 - 2
CHA
44%
25%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
NAN
3 - 1
COG
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 71 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
VIE
1 - 0
COG
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
COG
2 - 1
CHO
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
COG
2 - 1
ASC
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |