Bonchamp vs Cholet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonchamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BON
1 - 0
ASC
18%
22%
60%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SAB
1 - 1
BON
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BON
1 - 2
BOU
14%
21%
65%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
POI
1 - 1
BON
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
BON
1 - 3
CHA
16%
22%
62%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | -2 |
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 1
VIE
73%
17%
11%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 1
CHO
25%
24%
52%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 0
SAB
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BOU
1 - 1
CHO
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 1
POI
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |