Bonchamp vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
65.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonchamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
BON
2 - 1
CAR
14%
22%
64%
|
8 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
CON
3 - 2
BON
82%
12%
5%
|
8 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
DIV
2 - 1
BON
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
BON
2 - 4
LAV
15%
23%
62%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
BON
1 - 2
MON
12%
20%
69%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
AVR
1 - 0
NAN
47%
26%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
AVR
3 - 1
BRE
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +3 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
USS
2 - 1
AVR
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
AVR
4 - 3
LAT
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 2
AVR
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |