Bonavista vs UD Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
41.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BON
10 - 1
CDI
68%
16%
16%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SPO
3 - 3
BON
30%
21%
49%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
BON
11 - 0
CFU
79%
12%
9%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ASP
1 - 2
BON
82%
11%
7%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ELD
3 - 0
BON
18%
18%
64%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
UD Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 3
UDA
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 4
UDA
10%
17%
74%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
UDA
0 - 2
COC
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 3
UDA
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
UDA
1 - 1
PSP
59%
19%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |