Bonavista vs UD Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
56.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CRE
3 - 1
BON
59%
20%
21%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
BON
3 - 0
ELD
65%
17%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 1
BON
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BON
3 - 3
ISI
61%
18%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BON
0 - 3
ALG
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UD Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
UDA
2 - 1
ASP
42%
21%
37%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SGU
1 - 2
UDA
60%
19%
21%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
UDA
0 - 1
HEL
52%
20%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ALT
3 - 5
UDA
23%
20%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
UDA
4 - 1
PSP
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |