Bomal vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bomal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 3
BOM
34%
23%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BOM
3 - 0
ROS
78%
13%
8%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MEI
0 - 2
BOM
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BOM
0 - 0
LIB
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BOM
1 - 4
LAR
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MES
0 - 1
BAS
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
HAL
0 - 2
MES
48%
23%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 0
MES
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MES
3 - 0
ROS
54%
22%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 1
MES
38%
24%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |