Bomal vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bomal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VAU
4 - 0
BOM
18%
20%
62%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 2
BOM
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MEI
1 - 0
BOM
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
BOM
3 - 1
MAR
71%
17%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
BOM
12%
18%
71%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
MES
2 - 2
WEL
38%
23%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MES
0 - 1
SAR
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MES
2 - 2
OPP
22%
22%
56%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MES
4 - 2
ROS
47%
23%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VAU
3 - 1
MES
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |