Bolton Wanderers vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
BOL
4 - 0
LIN
81%
14%
5%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 2
HUL
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
BUR
1 - 1
BOL
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
BOL
3 - 1
WHU
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BOL
3 - 3
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
ARS
2 - 2
EVE
71%
18%
11%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
WHU
1 - 2
ARS
22%
24%
55%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2009 |
OPA
1 - 4
ARS
19%
23%
59%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
ARS
3 - 0
ASV
65%
20%
15%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
ARS
3 - 0
HUL
81%
13%
6%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |