Bologna Sub 18 vs Lecce Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
11º
10º
32
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
HEL
0 - 3
BOL
36%
21%
44%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
BOL
3 - 0
FRO
88%
9%
4%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAG
2 - 1
BOL
21%
19%
60%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BOL
3 - 0
FIO
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +3 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 1
BOL
19%
18%
63%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -3 |
Matches
Lecce Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
EMP
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
MIL
5 - 0
LEC
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
LEC
2 - 1
HEL
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FRO
3 - 10
LEC
10%
16%
74%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 3
INT
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |