Bologna U18 vs Lecce U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
11º
10º
32
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
HEL
0 - 3
BOL
36%
21%
44%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
BOL
3 - 0
FRO
88%
9%
4%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAG
2 - 1
BOL
21%
19%
60%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BOL
3 - 0
FIO
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 1
BOL
19%
18%
63%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -3 |
Matches
Lecce U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
EMP
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
MIL
5 - 0
LEC
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
LEC
2 - 1
HEL
36%
22%
42%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FRO
3 - 10
LEC
10%
16%
74%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 3
INT
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |