Bologna U18 vs Cesena U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
7º
4º
38
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 3
BOL
24%
20%
56%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 0
ASR
27%
21%
52%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
EMP
2 - 0
BOL
34%
21%
45%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 2
LEC
51%
21%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 1
BOL
27%
20%
53%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CES
3 - 1
SAS
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LAZ
2 - 4
CES
49%
21%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
CES
1 - 2
GEN
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
CES
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
CES
21%
20%
60%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |