Boler vs Follo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
66.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2013 |
FFK
8 - 0
BOR
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BOR
1 - 6
KRA
11%
18%
70%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BOR
0 - 8
SJE
9%
15%
76%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
SAR
7 - 0
BOR
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GAI
1 - 1
BOR
28%
22%
49%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Follo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2013 |
FFK
2 - 1
SAR
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
OCF
0 - 3
FFK
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
FFK
1 - 2
SKE
17%
19%
64%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
ASK
1 - 2
FFK
43%
23%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
KOL
5 - 1
FFK
73%
16%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |