Bolea vs Ayerbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
AAR
4 - 4
BOL
26%
22%
51%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 2
TEM
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 2
BOL
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BOL
3 - 1
POS
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 0
CDC
69%
16%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ayerbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
AYE
0 - 2
SJO
10%
17%
73%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
POS
3 - 1
AYE
35%
23%
42%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AYE
0 - 6
VAL
11%
19%
70%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RCD
1 - 2
AYE
54%
20%
26%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LAL
3 - 0
AYE
39%
23%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |