Boldmere St. Michaels vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
53.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boldmere St. Michaels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SHE
2 - 0
BOL
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BOL
4 - 3
SPO
43%
22%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
DAV
0 - 2
BOL
32%
22%
45%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TAM
6 - 0
BOL
62%
19%
18%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
BOL
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 4
CHA
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
STA
1 - 2
CHA
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
HAR
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SOA
0 - 1
CHA
20%
20%
61%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
BED
0 - 0
CHA
16%
21%
63%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -2 |