Bojano vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
56.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bojano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
ATE
1 - 0
ASB
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ASB
0 - 1
REA
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
RCS
0 - 0
ASB
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ASB
1 - 2
LUC
31%
26%
43%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SSS
2 - 2
ASB
74%
18%
8%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
BFM
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
ATE
0 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
REA
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
RCS
1 - 1
SAN
21%
24%
55%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |