Bojano vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
47.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bojano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
BFM
2 - 2
ASB
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
SAN
6 - 2
ASB
74%
16%
9%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ASB
1 - 2
SAN
19%
25%
56%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
ATE
1 - 0
ASB
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ASB
0 - 1
REA
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
REC
2 - 0
JES
43%
27%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
REC
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
REC
1 - 0
BFM
46%
27%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
REA
0 - 2
REC
55%
24%
21%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
REC
0 - 0
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |