Bojano vs Luco Canistro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bojano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
4 - 0
ASB
70%
19%
12%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ASB
1 - 1
SDC
34%
26%
41%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CIV
1 - 1
ASB
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ASB
0 - 1
MIG
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
EPD
1 - 0
ASB
45%
25%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Luco Canistro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 2
RCA
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
OLY
3 - 2
LUC
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 2
LAQ
21%
24%
55%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
REC
0 - 0
LUC
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 0
CSL
21%
24%
55%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +3 |