Bojano vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bojano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
REC
6 - 0
ASB
71%
18%
11%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ASB
0 - 3
GIU
13%
20%
67%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ANC
8 - 0
ASB
85%
11%
4%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ASB
0 - 1
MAC
9%
17%
74%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ASC
6 - 0
ASB
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FAN
1 - 0
OLY
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VIS
1 - 1
FAN
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FAN
2 - 0
RCA
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
4 - 2
FAN
77%
15%
9%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FAN
1 - 1
FCC
39%
26%
35%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |