Bojano vs Amiternina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
67.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bojano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAT
9 - 0
ASB
87%
10%
4%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ASB
2 - 9
OLY
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
ASB
0 - 7
RCA
13%
21%
66%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CIV
2 - 0
ASB
78%
15%
7%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ASB
1 - 9
TER
8%
16%
77%
|
11 | 42 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Amiternina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
OLY
1 - 0
AMI
60%
21%
20%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
AMI
0 - 4
VIS
32%
24%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
RCA
1 - 1
AMI
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
AMI
0 - 1
MAT
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
AMI
2 - 2
FCC
55%
23%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |