Bohemian FC vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
8º
8º
59
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
DER
1 - 1
BOH
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
BOH
0 - 2
DER
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
BOH
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
SHR
1 - 0
BOH
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
BOH
0 - 1
DRO
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
STP
2 - 1
SMA
86%
11%
3%
|
78 | 25 | 53 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 3
STP
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
SHR
0 - 3
STP
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
STP
3 - 0
WAT
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
STP
3 - 1
MUT
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 25 | 53 | 0 |