Bogotá vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
BOG
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BOG
1 - 2
PER
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 3
BOG
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
BOG
0 - 3
AFC
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 1
BOG
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
AME
22%
26%
52%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
UNI
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
REA
52%
24%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
SFC
1 - 0
UNI
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 2
UNI
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |