Bogotá vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SAB
0 - 0
BOG
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BOG
3 - 1
REA
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 3
BOG
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BOG
2 - 1
PAS
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 1
BOG
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
AFC
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
TFC
1 - 0
UNI
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
PAT
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 2
UNI
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
ACA
2 - 0
UNI
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |