Bogotá vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
BOG
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
BOG
0 - 2
TFC
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
BOG
2 - 1
BJC
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
TFC
0 - 1
BOG
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ORS
4 - 2
BOG
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TFC
1 - 1
REA
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
COR
1 - 2
REA
66%
21%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
REA
0 - 3
CAR
42%
27%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
REA
1 - 1
COR
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
REA
0 - 1
BJC
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |