Bogotá vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
BOG
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BOG
0 - 1
RIO
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BOG
1 - 1
LLA
31%
29%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 1
BOG
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
BOG
0 - 0
COR
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
REA
0 - 1
JAG
27%
28%
45%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 1
REA
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
REA
1 - 2
BUC
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
REA
1 - 1
CUC
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
REA
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |