Bogotá vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
SFC
2 - 0
BOG
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
EQU
2 - 2
BOG
67%
21%
13%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
BOG
2 - 0
MIL
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
UNI
6 - 0
BOG
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 2
BOG
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
REA
0 - 1
AME
18%
26%
57%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
AME
5 - 3
REA
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
REA
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
REA
1 - 0
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
REA
2 - 2
RIO
23%
23%
54%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |