Bogotá vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
BOG
0 - 1
RSC
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
BOG
61%
21%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
BOG
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BOG
3 - 1
BUC
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 1
BOG
39%
24%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 1
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
COR
2 - 0
MIL
64%
22%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ONC
1 - 0
MIL
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 1
TIJ
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |