Bogotá vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
COR
1 - 3
BOG
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BOG
1 - 2
PER
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
AME
5 - 0
BOG
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
BOG
4 - 2
UNI
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
BOG
0 - 1
BUC
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 2
JAG
27%
28%
46%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TFC
0 - 1
BAR
48%
28%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
CUC
20%
25%
54%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
QUI
19%
26%
56%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +2 |