Bogliasco vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogliasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BOG
1 - 0
CHI
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
ACQ
0 - 0
BOG
44%
26%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BOG
2 - 1
AST
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 2
BOG
55%
22%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
BOG
2 - 1
FOL
41%
26%
33%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
LAV
3 - 0
LAS
81%
14%
6%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
LAV
5 - 0
CAN
75%
17%
8%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 2
LAV
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LAV
3 - 1
NAV
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
0 - 0
LAV
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |