Bogen vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
58.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
RAI
1 - 3
BOG
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BOG
2 - 2
ISM
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SON
2 - 0
BOG
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
DJK
2 - 2
BOG
50%
23%
28%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BOG
0 - 1
AIC
17%
20%
64%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
VRG
2 - 0
WOL
72%
17%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
WAC
1 - 3
VRG
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
PUL
0 - 1
VRG
55%
22%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
VRG
3 - 3
LAN
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FCP
1 - 2
VRG
49%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |