Bogen vs TSV Kastl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
TSV
1 - 3
BOG
55%
20%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BOG
0 - 1
SIM
85%
10%
4%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
DJK
0 - 1
BOG
34%
24%
41%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
CTR
4 - 2
BOG
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LAN
2 - 1
BOG
49%
24%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Kastl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
TSK
2 - 2
ASD
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FCM
0 - 3
TSK
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
TSK
2 - 1
VFB
38%
23%
40%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
DEI
1 - 2
TSK
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
TSK
3 - 1
TPF
50%
22%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |