Bogen vs Sonthofen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
48.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
BOG
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 0
WOL
57%
23%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
BOG
3 - 1
BUR
54%
22%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 3
BOG
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
BOG
2 - 2
REG
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sonthofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
SON
2 - 0
LAN
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
FCP
0 - 1
SON
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
SON
0 - 2
AUG
5%
15%
80%
|
33 | 82 | 49 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
MEM
2 - 0
SON
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
HAH
3 - 3
SON
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |