Bogen vs Pullach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
UNT
1 - 0
BOG
74%
17%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 0
BOG
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SON
4 - 1
BOG
67%
20%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 0
VIL
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
WOL
0 - 1
BOG
51%
23%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Pullach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
PUL
5 - 1
LAN
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FCP
0 - 0
PUL
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PUL
0 - 1
HEI
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SON
2 - 3
PUL
26%
25%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
PUL
2 - 1
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |