Bogen vs Pullach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
WOL
1 - 3
BOG
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 1
VIL
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 2
RAI
20%
21%
60%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
LAN
4 - 1
BOG
32%
24%
45%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FCP
1 - 1
BOG
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Pullach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
BAD
3 - 1
PUL
23%
22%
55%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
PUL
6 - 0
LAN
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 1
PUL
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
PUL
1 - 1
EIC
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
PUL
0 - 3
UNT
70%
18%
13%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |