Bogen vs Bad Kötzting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
62.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 0
BOG
42%
22%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
BOG
1 - 1
FCS
10%
17%
73%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TB/
1 - 1
BOG
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BOG
2 - 3
SVL
47%
22%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
TKL
1 - 1
BOG
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
BAD
1 - 2
LAN
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BAD
1 - 1
TBR
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 4
BAD
27%
22%
51%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
BAD
2 - 0
SVW
81%
12%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SCE
1 - 2
BAD
55%
22%
24%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |