Bogen vs Bad Kötzting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
61.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BOG
0 - 5
TSW
26%
22%
52%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
SCE
1 - 1
BOG
56%
21%
23%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
BOG
0 - 1
TBA
40%
23%
38%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
SVE
2 - 0
BOG
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
BOG
1 - 2
LAN
39%
24%
37%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BAD
4 - 2
SCE
65%
18%
16%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
TBA
3 - 2
BAD
25%
21%
54%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
BAD
4 - 1
SVE
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
REG
0 - 2
BAD
65%
17%
18%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
BAD
0 - 3
JRE
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |