VfL Bochum vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
SGD
2 - 1
BOC
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
BOC
1 - 4
SGF
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FCU
2 - 1
BOC
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
BOC
1 - 2
STP
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
ROS
0 - 0
BOC
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
PAD
0 - 0
AAA
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
EIN
0 - 0
PAD
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SGD
1 - 2
PAD
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
PAD
0 - 1
SGF
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
FCU
3 - 0
PAD
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |