VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel analysis


77	ELO	76
2.5%	Tilt	11.4%
177º	General ELO ranking	194º
21º	Country ELO ranking	23º
ELO win probability

38%

VfL Bochum

24.6%

Draw

37.5%

Holstein Kiel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

38%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%

24.6%

Draw

0-0

5.3%

1-1

11.4%

2-2

6.2%

3-3

1.5%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.6%

37.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+5%

+4%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfL Bochum

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
22 Mar. 2021	F95 0 - 3 BOC 41% 26% 34%	76	76	0
12 Mar. 2021	BOC 0 - 2 HSV 38% 24% 37%	76	76	0
06 Mar. 2021	SGF 1 - 2 BOC 37% 26% 37%	76	75	1
27 Feb. 2021	BOC 3 - 0 WUR 67% 20% 13%	76	63	13
19 Feb. 2021	ERZ 1 - 0 BOC 27% 25% 48%	76	70	6

Matches

Holstein Kiel

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
08 Mar. 2021	HSV 1 - 1 HOL 38% 25% 37%	77	77	0	0
03 Mar. 2021	ROT 0 - 3 HOL 14% 18% 68%	77	60	17	0
27 Feb. 2021	HOL 1 - 0 ERZ 56% 24% 20%	76	70	6	+1
22 Feb. 2021	SGF 2 - 1 HOL 32% 25% 43%	77	74	3	-1
12 Feb. 2021	HOL 1 - 0 WUR 68% 19% 13%	77	63	14	0