VfL Bochum vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
BYM
4 - 0
BOC
89%
8%
4%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
BOC
1 - 1
MON
20%
23%
57%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
OFC
2 - 2
BOC
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
BOC
2 - 0
HSV
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
BOC
3 - 3
F95
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
KÖL
1 - 0
STU
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
KAI
2 - 1
KÖL
75%
16%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
KÖL
3 - 0
MSV
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
KOL
5 - 0
KÖL
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
KÖL
3 - 2
EIN
27%
26%
48%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |