VfL Bochum vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
EBT
2 - 1
BOC
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
BOC
1 - 1
ARB
36%
24%
40%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
BOC
0 - 0
OSN
51%
24%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
KSC
0 - 1
BOC
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
BOC
2 - 2
STP
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
HSV
3 - 0
ERZ
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ERZ
2 - 1
HEI
33%
27%
41%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
ERZ
1 - 1
SGF
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
WUR
0 - 3
ERZ
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ULM
2 - 0
ERZ
11%
17%
72%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |