VfL Bochum vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
STU
1 - 1
BOC
60%
22%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 2
F95
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FCN
0 - 1
BOC
45%
25%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 1
WUR
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
HAN
2 - 1
BOC
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
ERZ
1 - 0
KSC
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ARB
2 - 2
ERZ
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ERZ
1 - 4
SGD
27%
28%
45%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
EBT
1 - 1
ERZ
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
ERZ
0 - 0
SGF
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |