VfL Bochum vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
SGF
0 - 0
BOC
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
SVS
0 - 0
BOC
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
BOC
3 - 3
STP
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ING
3 - 0
BOC
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
BOC
4 - 0
VFR
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
ERZ
0 - 1
FCN
25%
26%
50%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 1
HEI
27%
27%
47%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
KAI
3 - 0
ERZ
72%
19%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 2
FCU
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
KSC
1 - 0
ERZ
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |