VfL Bochum vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
11º
18º
16º
27
11º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
DAR
1 - 2
BOC
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
BOC
2 - 2
M05
30%
24%
46%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 1
BOC
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
BOC
1 - 3
HAN
50%
23%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RBL
0 - 0
BOC
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 1
AUG
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
KAI
3 - 2
KOL
25%
23%
52%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
RBL
6 - 0
KOL
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
KOL
3 - 1
MON
29%
23%
48%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LEV
3 - 0
KOL
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |