VfL Bochum U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+143%
+131%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
3º
1º
17
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 22 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 21 |
4º
|
81% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
76.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
3 - 4
BOC
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BOC
2 - 2
OSN
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HAN
2 - 5
BOC
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BOC
3 - 3
WBR
31%
20%
49%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SCP
0 - 2
BOC
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
RWE
0 - 3
ARM
47%
23%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ARM
5 - 2
SCP
9%
15%
76%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | +5 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 2
WBR
6%
11%
83%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 2
HAN
9%
15%
75%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ARM
0 - 2
EIN
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |